Year: 2024
Author: Shan Gao, Xiaoqi Sun
Journal of Nonlinear Modeling and Analysis, Vol. 6 (2024), Iss. 4 : pp. 1091–1121
Abstract
A new stochastic SIR epidemic model with vaccination is established and its dynamical behavior is analyzed. Considering the random effects of vaccination rates and mortality in this model, it is demonstrated that the extinction and persistence of the virus is only correlated with the threshold $R^s_0.$ If $R^s_0<1,$ the disease dies out with probability one. And if $R^s_0>1,$ the disease is stochastic persistent in the means with probability one. In addition, the existence and uniqueness of a smooth distribution are proven using the Itôs formula, and the sufficiency criterion is obtained using the Lyapunov function. Finally, the accuracy and efficiency of the stochastic SIR epidemic model with vaccination in predicting disease transmission trends were verified through simulation. Unlike the singularity of stochastic perturbations in existing infectious disease models, the innovation of this paper is in the addition of multiple stochastic perturbations, especially distinguishing the stochastic perturbations of mortality under vaccination, which are used to study the dynamics of the model.
Journal Article Details
Publisher Name: Global Science Press
Language: English
DOI: https://doi.org/10.12150/jnma.2024.1091
Journal of Nonlinear Modeling and Analysis, Vol. 6 (2024), Iss. 4 : pp. 1091–1121
Published online: 2024-01
AMS Subject Headings:
Copyright: COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press
Pages: 31
Keywords: Vaccination random disturbance smooth distribution Lyapunov function stability.