Ultra-Chaos: An Insurmountable Objective Obstacle of Reproducibility and Replication

Ultra-Chaos: An Insurmountable Objective Obstacle of Reproducibility and Replication

Year:    2022

Author:    Shijun Liao, Shijie Qin

Advances in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, Vol. 14 (2022), Iss. 4 : pp. 799–815

Abstract

In this paper, a new concept, i.e., ultra-chaos, is proposed for the first time. Unlike a normal-chaos, statistical properties such as the probability density functions (PDF) of an ultra-chaos are sensitive to tiny disturbances. We illustrate that ultra-chaos is widely existed and thus has general scientific meanings. It is found that statistical non-reproducibility is an inherent property of an ultra-chaos so that an ultra-chaos is at a higher-level of disorder than a normal-chaos. Thus, it is impossible in practice to replicate experimental/numerical results of an ultra-chaos even in statistical meanings, since random environmental noises always exist and are out of control. Thus, the ultra-chaos should be an insurmountable obstacle of reproducibility and replicability. Similar to Gödel's incompleteness theorem, such kind of "incompleteness of reproducibility" reveals a limitation of our traditional scientific paradigm based on reproducible experiments, which can be traced back to Galileo. The ultra-chaos opens a new door and possibility to study chaos theory, turbulence theory, computational fluid dynamics (CFD), the statistical significance, reproducibility crisis, and so on.

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Journal Article Details

Publisher Name:    Global Science Press

Language:    English

DOI:    https://doi.org/10.4208/aamm.OA-2021-0364

Advances in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics, Vol. 14 (2022), Iss. 4 : pp. 799–815

Published online:    2022-01

AMS Subject Headings:    Global Science Press

Copyright:    COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

Pages:    17

Keywords:    Chaos statistical stability reproducibility and replication.

Author Details

Shijun Liao

Shijie Qin

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