Adaptive Locally Weighted Projection Regression Method for Uncertainty Quantification

Adaptive Locally Weighted Projection Regression Method for Uncertainty Quantification

Year:    2013

Communications in Computational Physics, Vol. 14 (2013), Iss. 4 : pp. 851–878

Abstract

We develop an efficient, adaptive locally weighted projection regression (ALWPR) framework for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of systems governed by ordinary and partial differential equations. The algorithm adaptively selects the new input points with the largest predictive variance and decides when and where to add new local models. It effectively learns the local features and accurately quantifies the uncertainty in the prediction of the statistics. The developed methodology provides predictions and confidence intervals at any query input and can deal with multi-output cases. Numerical examples are presented to show the accuracy and efficiency of the ALWPR framework including problems with non-smooth local features such as discontinuities in the stochastic space.

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Journal Article Details

Publisher Name:    Global Science Press

Language:    English

DOI:    https://doi.org/10.4208/cicp.060712.281212a

Communications in Computational Physics, Vol. 14 (2013), Iss. 4 : pp. 851–878

Published online:    2013-01

AMS Subject Headings:    Global Science Press

Copyright:    COPYRIGHT: © Global Science Press

Pages:    28

Keywords: